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Posts Tagged ‘troubled asset’

Good Riddance to 2009 and the last Decade. Welcome 2010?

December 23, 2009 Leave a comment




As my father was in the Air Force we were stationed overseas, when I was a young lad. We spent 3 years in England. I have so many wonderful memories of my time there, and maybe it was because I was young, but what I remember most were various sayings, slang and colloquislisms.

One of my favorite sayings was “Good Riddance to Bad Rubbish”. Since I was there in the early sixties, you still heard things like “Chip Chip Cheerio” (a way to say goodbye in british slang) and all that sort of rot. So that is the genisis of the title.

Anyway that is a whole minute of drivel you will never get back… Sorry.

OK so it looks like I hate the last 10 years…. Hate is a harsh word, but I would say it has been a roller coaster for many. Do you realize the changes that have occured in the last decade? The digital age is flourishing and this is just the beginning. Twitter, Facebook, the iPhone, digital cameras to name a few.

September 11th, which was the catalyst for starting one of the longest periods of war we have ever had. The tech bubble, the real estate boom and now bust. Our first African American President.

There have been highs and lows and personally my life was pretty blessed. We are now coming into what I believe is a long recovery. This recovery will not be a straight line back, but more of a roller coaster at times.

So how about the next 10?

Do I welcome them or cringe as I think about the hardships and pain many will have to endure? To be honest, even though I have been writing about gloom and doom lately, I am very optimistic. We can not continue to do the things we have done in this industry over the next ten years and survive. We have to come up with new and better paradigms as these are new times. We have to embrace technology as it is not going away. Many I have talked to lately tell me that most of the people that count in this industry will not utilize social networking and technology tools. Let me tell you that as I have been in the technology field for over 30 years, on thing is absolute; change or die.

Remember the fax machine, the cell phone, the microwave, ATM cards, email? What do they have in common? They were all new technologies at one time that people avoided like the plague, until a tipping point occured when you either had to succomb to the inevitability that you had to change or be left dangling in the cold.

Don’t wait to learn how to use social media and the Internet for more that checking your spam ridden email accounts.

We have started the Commercial Real Estate Distressed Assets Association (CREDAA) and we know we will not cure the world of poverty and hunger or come up with a new cancer cure, but we will be working to educate and find solutions to our current commercial real estate dilemmas.

I look forward to working with industry professionals, bankers and investors to find the best solutions to end the madness that is our current situation. We at CREDAA really believe that the holding of assets by banks, the FDIC and other authorities, is a recipe for disaster and at least it will cause our recovery to last so much longer than need be.

We do not believe CREDAA will save the world, but we will be active at trying to help turn around a small portion of it. Margaret Mead wrote “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, commited citizens can change the world. Indeed it’s the only thing that ever has.”

We invite you to join us in our quest to go from Reactive Survival Mode to Educated Self Empowerment Mode which will lead us to the land of Sustained Abundance and Prosperity. www.CREDAA.com

Happy Holidays to you and yours



JW Najarian

CREPIG
CREDAA

Current and Performing Mortgages fell for the 6th Straight Quarter

December 21, 2009 Leave a comment




This according to Street Signs on CNBC.

Serious U.S. mortgage delinquencies rise 20% in 3rd quarter
www.chinaview.cn 2009-12-22 03:46:36

WASHINGTON, Dec. 21 (Xinhua) — Serious delinquencies among U.S. prime mortgages rose nearly 20 percent in the third quarter from the prior quarter, indicating that the country’s housing financial market remains in trouble, according to a report released by U.S. banking regulators on Monday.

The report by the Office of Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision, which are banking regulatory agencies of the Treasury Department, covered about two-thirds of all U.S. mortgages.

Read More….

Few borrowers helped by modified mortgages
Associated Press (msnbc)
updated 8:46 a.m. PT, Mon., Dec . 21, 2009

WASHINGTON – One of the biggest challenges to ending the foreclosure crisis is this: A surprising number of homeowners who get their monthly payments reduced fall behind again within a year.

When borrowers get into financial trouble, lenders have several ways to help. They can offer grace periods, longer repayment schedules, lower interest rates or reduced balances.

Read More….

I know we have been hearing story after story about how the housing market is coming back. How many are making money flipping and new home sales are way up. None of these stories are false, but they are probably based on misconceptions that the market has hit bottom and the economy is stablizing. Housing has still not grown as much as most other sections of the market recently.

Real Estate is location based and we have hit the bottom in some markets and are on the upswing in others, but overall nothing is over yet. Most new home sales have been the result of tax credit stimulus. Also the economy is far from on the upswing even though we had great GDP numbers in the 3rd quarter of this year.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics the numbers are not looking bad this quarter compared to previous, but all the news I hear is that unemployment may tick up to 10.5. It looks more like confusion to me and 2010 looks like it will be another choppy year as the numbers jump up and down. Like GLD did today as it dropped from it’s recent highs by 50%.

Can this market sustain new home sales numbers as foreclosures are still growing even amongst more credit worthy buyers? If fundamentals count the deck seems to be stacked against sustained growth this next year.



JW Najarian

CREPIG
CREDAA

December 16, 2009 Leave a comment

Banks to Spend 2010 Coping with Commercial Mortgage Maturities

National Real Estate Investor
Dec 16, 2009 12:54 PM, By Sibley Fleming

As billions of dollars in commercial debt comes due over the next two years, with many loans originated from 2005 to 2008 underwater, the need for capital will skyrocket. Of the $3.5 trillion in commercial mortgage debt outstanding, more than $1.1 trillion is needed to service that debt. That’s according to a new 2010 forecast from New York-based financial analyst Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW).

The scarcity of cash will be most acutely felt in the banking sector, which holds some 80% of the approximately $500 billion in commercial debt that will mature through 2011.

Regional banks are particularly weighed down with commercial mortgages and will have a tough row to hoe in 2010. According to the KBW Quantitative Research Group, 300 banks had more than 25% of their loan portfolios in commercial mortgages at the end of the third quarter.

Read More…..

This is why CREDAA exists. I read that the market is up and new home sales are up and they will probably be up till the middle of the year when incentives are due to end. I am sure they will create new incentives, but the story is the same.

Without the grass roots efforts of the commercial financial industry coming together to find solutions and staying on top of current situations and trends, it is my belief that a recovery will take an enormous amount of time.

CREDAA is working to build alliances with industry leaders with the experience to figure it all out and we will be announcing programs we have found that have great solutions in the months ahead.

RIISnet is one of the platforms we feel the industry needs to move forward with realtime valuation and quick asset turnaround. If you have not been on a Tuesday evening call; you are missing an amazing opportunity.

If everyone keeps doing the same old thing and expecting a different outcome then…… You get the picture.

Come to CREDAA and participate. We have an amazing plethora, cocophany and cornucopia of information and services we will be delivering soon.

FYI – CREDAA is already amazing and if you are not using it daily you are missing out.

Here are the features we already provide:

My Page – Area where members can store data about themselves including headshots, profile, general info, pictures and other pertinent data to introduce themselves to other members. Member’s profile is also totally configurable to choose colors graphics and what messages they do and do not receive.
Private email service – Send and receive emails from other members and with free site email address.
Discussion Forum – This allows members the ability to discuss anything pertinent to the distressed market with other members. Forum also allows uploading pictures and attachments and can take html formatted text.
Chat Forum – Real-time forum for open discussion on news and issues in the industry
Blog – A member can read or write blogs on various topics associated with the distressed markets. The blog also allows uploading pictures and can take html formatted text.
Groups – A member can join an existing group or create their own group based on membership needs. Within groups there is the ability to have discussions pertaining to your group.
Events – Members can find industry and CREDAA events as well as post their own events
Pictures – Members can search for particular pictures or post pictures for other members to see.
Videos – Members can search or post industry videos for other members to see.
News – Current 24/7 Industry news from across the web including blog posts from other industry services.
CREDAA TV – Allows members the ability to view current and automatically updated distributed videos from major broadcasters like NBC, FOX, Bloomberg and others on FDIC, TARP FNMA, distressed, toxic, unstable and troubled notes and asset news.
RSS – All features including personal have RSS capability
Graphs and Analytics – CREDAA has standard and proprietary data, graphs and analytics for the distressed, unstable, toxic, troubled assets and notes industry.
Member Search – CREDAA has a low level search to find members fast and a premium search ability to find resources and providers in the industry based on multiple criteria.
Alliances – CREDAA has and will continue to create and foster alliances with industry leaders that we believe have workable solutions to the many issues faced by banks, brokers, lenders, property owners and investors in the commercial real estate industry.

The news service alone is increadible. We search out the WHOLE Internet for all blog stories and news items that deal with distressed, troubled, unstable, toxic assets and notes and serve them up to you in one easy to read place.

CREDAA TV is not just some kidstuff You Tube fun package. Again CREDAA uses a service to automatically serve you the latest troubled assets videos from video news feeds like NBC, FOX, Bloomberg and many more so you don’t have to search the world for the most up to date news, views and information

If we are missing something. Come and discuss it on the Forum or Blog it to the world.

JW Najarian

CREPIG
CREDAA

Banks pay off TARP money, but will not take loss on troubled assets

December 16, 2009 Leave a comment

In a recent story in the Wall Street Journal business section http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091215-709891.html, it is mentioned that Wells Fargo offerred $10.4 billion in stock to help repay $25Billion in TARP money.

What about their toxic asset inventory. I wish I could run my books like that.



JW Najarian

CREPIG
CREDAA

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